KSAN Storm Team Weather forecast Monday, February 21, 2022 10:00 PM
The active weather crosses the Concho Valley. Initially, a severe thunderstorm warning was issued for Runnels County until 10:30 p.m., but it has now expired at 10:20 p.m.
Thunderstorms continue to move through our area with heavy rain and lightning. Most of the strongest storms moved northeast over the Dallas area and into Oklahoma. Most storms are expected to be out of our area after midnight tonight.
The storm forecast center has most of the northern half of our region under marginal risk of severe weather. The main impacts are gusts of wind (damaging), hail, lightning and a low risk of tornado. We might see heavy storms, but the best chance of a severe storm will be in our north.
We will see clouds remain above our forecast tonight, with temperatures dropping into the low 50s. A warmer night is expected with overcast clouds and gusty winds
A cold front will move through our region tomorrow afternoon bringing arctic air. This arctic front will give a chance for freezing rain or mixed ice pellets to deepen on the upper warm layer after the frontal passage. I have a slight chance of a mix up but that could all change with the movement of the next system.
The best chance of ice will be for DFW and areas to the north and northeast. However, with falling temperatures and increasing humidity. We can’t really let forecasts mix up.
With surface temperatures expecting to be warm, heavy accumulation is not expected. If present, bridges and overpasses will be the best places to see the light build-up. Most of the southern half of the Concho Valley will see a mix of rain and freezing rain Wednesday through Thursday.
We will see temperatures drop into the 30’s and stay cold all week. Temperatures will struggle to get back into the 70s but will hit the 60s by Sunday.